Early projections suggest the South West Africa People’s Organisation (SWAPO), Namibia’s ruling party since independence in 1990, is poised to retain its parliamentary majority
Petrina Amadhila
Senior Political Editor
The Southern African Times
Namibia’s general elections, held from 27 to 30 November, showcased the nation’s deep-rooted democratic traditions. Voters flocked to polling stations with hopes for change or continuity, a decision that would shape the country’s trajectory for years to come.
Early projections suggest the South West Africa People’s Organisation (SWAPO), Namibia’s ruling party since independence in 1990, is poised to retain its parliamentary majority.
Yet, behind this apparent stability lies a story of political discord, dashed ambitions, and the complexities of leadership in a maturing democracy.
For the Independent Patriots for Change (IPC) and its leader, Panduleni Itula, these elections were a chance to turn the tide.
The IPC, a young but increasingly prominent opposition force, sought to end SWAPO’s dominance by targeting its weakened majority from 2019.
Instead, the elections became a sobering lesson in the challenges of coalition-building, the pitfalls of leadership controversies, and the consequences of ethical missteps.
The IPC’s journey in these elections was fraught with setbacks. Panduleni Itula, whose charismatic persona had initially energised supporters, faced significant credibility issues.
In one glaring episode, an old video surfaced showing him contradicting his own statements about his historical affiliation with SWAPO.
This inconsistency cast doubt on his integrity. Compounding the issue, his claim in June that Namibia’s constitution was imposed by Western countries drew widespread criticism.
Legal experts and historians swiftly debunked the assertion, framing it as not only inaccurate but divisive. For a party striving to position itself as a credible alternative, such controversies proved to be costly distractions.
The party’s challenges extended beyond its leader. A report by South Africa’s IOL uncovered a campaign strategy mired in manipulation. Evidence suggested the IPC employed paid commentators and AI-generated content to create an illusion of widespread public support.
These tactics, described as an attempt to distort political realities, not only tarnished the IPC’s image but also alienated voters who valued transparency and authenticity.
Such revelations underscored the growing tension between technological innovation in politics and the ethical standards expected in democratic contests.
Adding to its woes, the IPC struggled with internal divisions and opposition disunity. Tensions with the Popular Democratic Movement (PDM), another key opposition party, boiled over after IPC spokesperson Imms Nashinge blamed coalition partners for governance failures in Windhoek.
This public finger-pointing led to protests from PDM supporters, with some calling for their leader, McHenry Venaani, to sever ties with the IPC. Such infighting fragmented the opposition’s message and weakened its ability to challenge SWAPO’s cohesive campaign.
In contrast, SWAPO managed to project stability. While the party faced criticism for past governance issues, it conducted its campaign without major scandals or internal rifts.
This steadiness, coupled with the symbolic elevation of Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah as its presidential candidate, bolstered its appeal. Nandi-Ndaitwah’s likely ascent as Namibia’s first female president marks a historic moment, reflecting both progress in gender representation and SWAPO’s strategic adaptability.
Her leadership, while celebrated as a milestone, also signifies a calculated response to societal demands for inclusivity and modernisation. Analysts suggest that SWAPO’s ability to navigate such evolving narratives has been central to its sustained dominance.
By addressing generational shifts while maintaining its liberation-era legacy, the party continues to resonate with a broad segment of the electorate.
Namibia’s elections reveal broader truths about political dynamics in emerging democracies. Voters often prioritise stability, particularly in the face of opposition uncertainty.
The IPC’s inability to address leadership controversies, navigate coalition politics, and uphold ethical campaign practices underscores the challenges of building trust in a competitive political environment.
Yet, the elections also highlight Namibia’s democratic resilience. The peaceful conduct of the polls and the anticipated transition to a female-led presidency reflect the nation’s commitment to progress within a framework of institutional stability.
While SWAPO celebrates its continued dominance, the opposition faces a moment of reckoning—an opportunity to reflect, rebuild, and recalibrate its strategies for future contests.
Namibia’s 2024 general elections are not just a political milestone; they are a testament to the complexities and triumphs of democracy.
As the country stands on the cusp of historic change, it offers a powerful narrative of perseverance, adaptability, and the enduring importance of trust in the political process.
Petrina Amadhila, Senior Political Editor, The Southern African Times, Windhoek, Namibia.
